Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006363 0.007330 0.008458 0.009888 0.011676 0.013871 0.016823
2025-11-09 0.004855 0.005960 0.007375 0.009370 0.012198 0.016216 0.022665
2025-11-16 0.004044 0.005166 0.006689 0.008994 0.012567 0.018232 0.028751
2025-11-23 0.003637 0.004802 0.006466 0.009146 0.013653 0.021606 0.038808
2025-11-30 0.003256 0.004405 0.006107 0.008986 0.014148 0.024109 0.048827
2025-12-07 0.002923 0.004028 0.005714 0.008675 0.014274 0.025929 0.058696
2025-12-14 0.002688 0.003770 0.005465 0.008553 0.014705 0.028548 0.073178
2025-12-21 0.002569 0.003674 0.005462 0.008858 0.016063 0.033937 0.103348
2025-12-28 0.002490 0.003632 0.005537 0.009319 0.017894 0.041619 0.157733
2026-01-04 0.002369 0.003507 0.005451 0.009445 0.018997 0.047967 0.224316
2026-01-11 0.002233 0.003342 0.005274 0.009350 0.019527 0.052871 0.301735
2026-01-18 0.002126 0.003220 0.005162 0.009374 0.020382 0.059680 0.437509
2026-01-25 0.001990 0.003045 0.004948 0.009186 0.020741 0.065556 0.635321
2026-02-01 0.001834 0.002824 0.004632 0.008721 0.020188 0.067240 0.808650
2026-02-08 0.001708 0.002648 0.004385 0.008381 0.019927 0.070343 1.106619
2026-02-15 0.001645 0.002580 0.004341 0.008519 0.021244 0.083593 2.427029
2026-02-22 0.001560 0.002466 0.004193 0.008373 0.021574 0.091804 4.744077
2026-03-01 0.001470 0.002336 0.004002 0.008092 0.021344 0.096282 8.611545
2026-03-08 0.001403 0.002245 0.003884 0.007981 0.021718 0.106178 27.220963
2026-03-15 0.001374 0.002224 0.003911 0.008258 0.023715 0.134377 159149.019555
2026-03-22 0.001358 0.002225 0.003983 0.008676 0.026542 0.181759 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001319 0.002180 0.003950 0.008790 0.028131 0.223106 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001269 0.002110 0.003854 0.008704 0.028754 0.254659 NaN